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By FRANK L.PARKER

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The role of models in the design and licensing of the repository should properly be understood to be different from the use of models in designing airplanes or licensing nuclear reactors. There are major sources of uncertainty About this PDF file: This new digital representation of the original work has been recomposed from XML files created from the original paper book, not from the original typesetting files. Page breaks are true to the original; line lengths, word breaks, heading styles, and other typesetting-specific formatting, however, cannot be retained, and some typographic errors may have been accidentally inserted.

The debate will hinge in part on a clear understanding of the alternatives against which a proposed “solution” will be judged. ” Given the unhappy history of radioactive waste disposal in the United States, however, one very real and likely alternative is that nothing at all will be done. In judging disposal options, therefore, one should also adopt inaction or some other likely scenario as a default option, so that comparisons can be made and progress consistently assessed over time. The combination of a conservative engineering approach and designed-in maximum flexibility, to allow unanticipated problems to be corrected, should reassure both technical experts and concerned nonexperts.

Please use the print version of this publication as the authoritative version for attribution. NOTES 38 10. Konikow, “Predictive Accuracy of a Ground-Water Model: Lessons from a Post Audit,” Ground Water, Vol. 24, No. 2 (March-April 1986) pp. 173–184. 11. , “Some Uncertainties About Uncertainty,” paper presented at the DOE/AECL symposium on the use of geostatistics in nuclear waste disposal, San Francisco (September 1987). 12. Spear, “An Approach to the Preliminary Analysis of Environmental Systems,” Journal of Environmental Management, Vol.

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